Saturday, July 19, 2008

US faces global funding crisis

Merrill Lynch has warned that the United States could face a foreign "financing crisis" within months as the full consequences of the Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac mortgage debacle spread through the world. Britain and other Anglo-Saxon deficit states could face a similar retreat by foreign investors.

Merrill Lynch said foreign governments had added $241 billion of US agency debt over the past year alone. China holds around $400bn, Russia $150bn and Saudi Arabia and other Gulf states at least $200bn.

Brian Bethune, chief financial economist at Global Insight, said the US Treasury had two or three days to put real money behind its rescue plan for Fannie and Freddie or face a dangerous crisis that could spiral out of control.

Fannie and Freddie - the world's two biggest financial institutions - make up almost half the $12 trillion US mortgage industry. But that understates their vital importance at this juncture. They are now serving as lender of last resort to the housing market, providing 80pc of all new home loans.

Roughly $1.5 trillion of Fannie and Freddie AAA-rated debt - as well as other US "government-sponsored enterprises" - is now in foreign hands. The great unknown is whether foreign patience will snap as losses mount and the dollar slides.

[The Telegraph]

No comments: